/ Print /

  • linkedin
  • Increase Font
  • Sharebar

    Physician shortages may affect population health strategies


    The possibility of a physician shortage in the near future could make it harder to deploy population health strategies, according to a report released in February 2017 by the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC).

    The report looks at several population health strategies, including those that aim at reducing morbid obesity, controlling blood pressure and cholesterol, increasing blood glucose management, and smoking cessation.

    The increased need for high-quality, low-cost healthcare for chronic care management initiatives (such as those mentioned above) is tied to workforce projections and the possibility that there won’t be enough physicians to lead care teams, the report says.

    “We have goals to make populations healthier. If more people are living into their 90s or 100s, it won’t decrease the need for doctors,” says Janis Orlowski, MD, MACP, chief healthcare office for AAMC. “My experience tells me that our goals to decrease obesity and high blood pressure will make significant impacts on healthcare. But people will still need a doctor.”

    Scope of the problem

    By 2025, the United States could be facing a shortage ranging from 34,600 to 88,000 physicians in total. Physician shortages in specialty, nonprimary care areas such as surgical, psychiatry, and pathology could be between 33,500 and 61,800 by 2030, according to study. The projected shortages in the primary care field range from 7,300 to 43,100 by 2030. The study’s authors say that wide range is due to the possibility of rapid growth in nurse practitioner and physician assistants (PAs) joining the field.

    ”The ratio of physicians to advance practice registered nurses (APRNs) and PAs is projected to fall over time as the APRN and PA supplies grow at faster rates than physician supply,” the study’s authors say. The projections suggest that the physician to-PA ratio will fall from 7.2:1 in 2015 to 3.5:1 in 2030. The physician-to-APRN ratio will fall from 3.6:1 in 2015 to 1.9:1 in 2030. “It is unclear whether these decreasing ratios are sustainable as an increased number of APRNs and PAs continue to enter the market or to what extent these shifts will affect the demand for physicians.”

    Next: Where pop health initiatives will suffer most


    1 Comment

    You must be signed in to leave a comment. Registering is fast and free!

    All comments must follow the ModernMedicine Network community rules and terms of use, and will be moderated. ModernMedicine reserves the right to use the comments we receive, in whole or in part,in any medium. See also the Terms of Use, Privacy Policy and Community FAQ.

    • [email protected]
      Am really grateful and thankful for what Dr.Sebi has done for me and my family. I Was having HIV/ AIDS for good three years with no solution, the diseases almost took my life and because I was unable to work and I was also loosing lots of money for medication, but one faithful day when I went online, I met lots of testimonies about this great man so I decided to give it a try and to God be the glory he did it. he cured me of my diseases and am so happy and so pleased to Write about him today. if you need his help or you also want to get cured just the way I got mine, just email him below [email protected] or Whatsapp;+2348153863900 and get your healing. He has cure for other deadly diseases like Diabetes, Herpes, Hepatitis of all types and Cancer

    Follow Us On Twitter

    Find us on Facebook

    Latest Tweets Follow